2009 at 9:52 am | posted by Rep. Craig Frank
J—- and J—-:
Thank you for your email. I appreciate the concerns and questions of people in our community.
Currently, budget shortfall projections for the Fiscal Year 2011 (FY11) stand at approximately $700M. FY11’s budget period is between July 1, 2010 and June 30, 2011. These figures are based on projected revenue collections by a Committee comprised of the Governor’s Office on Planning and Budget (GOPB), the Legislative Fiscal Analysts Office (LFA), and the State Tax Commission. Some have speculated that available one-time on-hand resources (it’s like pulling money out of a savings account) could “soften the blow” a bit, requiring the legislature to raise taxes by only $100M this coming General Session. Some have suggested that the “necessary” increase of $100M to the state tax base should come from such targeted taxes as Cigarette/Tobacco Taxes, increasing the tax on alcohol consumption, or even replacing the Sales Tax on non-prepared foods (removed just last year). Read more about this speculative proposal in this Deseret News article by Bob Bernick, http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705325627/Tax-increases-looming-for-Utahns.html.
I think this is the wrong approach. I’ve maintained “target taxing” is bad tax policy. (http://underthedome.org/?p=694) The Utah Taxpayers Association (and its representatives) have consistently (and constantly) drummed over the years that “good tax policy” LOWERS THE RATE & SPREADS THE BASE. Logical. A fixed tax burden shared among a larger taxable population lowers the tax burden for everyone. Logical. “Target taxing” doesn’t accomplish this principle.
As for the state’s two “Rainy-day” surplus funds (Education and General)…the money is sitting there–about $425M. We clearly have the ability to spend it. But, should we? Current projected budget gaps (FY11) represent ON-GOING appropriations shortfalls. (“On-going” means: the state’s [tax] salary has decreased, the perpetual “paycheck” has been cut by a certain percentage with no hope of it returning to “normal” levels any time soon.) The question then is…do we plug perpetual or “on-going” budget shortfalls with a temporary, one-time surplus fund(s) fix?
I think this is the wrong approach. Any time we use one-time monies to “plug a gap” (on-going) we place ourselves in the position of creating “structural imbalance” within the state’s budget. The state cannot afford to put itself in this predicament. (Since the legislature is Constitutionally required to balance the budget every year, this presents an intesting and potentially dangerous dynamic.) When the state legislature utilizes temporary (rainy-day) dollars to justify today’s problem not knowing (or predicting) what it can count on tomorrow (FY12) in terms of cash flow, it is being reckless and irresponsible. What happens when the same shortfall exists in FY12? and, FY13? Do we cut the budget then? Sure, we can. But, we can also do it now. Procrastinate? Sure. We can leave this problem for the next legislature…or we can be prudent, and make the necessary budget cuts for FY11 (and beyond), now. (For additional reading link to Senator Urquhart’s blog http://steveu.com/blog/2009/08/will-utah-raise-taxes.html)
So, the short answer to your questions…DON’T RAISE TAXES, VERY (emphasis on “very”) MINOR DIPPING INTO THE RAINY-DAY FUNDS, and FURTHER CUTS TO THE STATE BUDGET (to maintain structural integrity).
Thank you, again, for your questions.
Respectfully,
Rep. Craig Frank